5 August 2022
Inbound Tourism Part II: The Impending Rebound in Tourism
Japan Inbound Tourism: Part II
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The Impending Rebound in Tourism

We think it will take some time for the number of inbound tourists to recover to the pre-pandemic level, as deregulation in border control is gradual. Current resurgence of omicron virus in Japan and Covid situation in China and other countries are the major factors to affect the pace of recovery. Social consensus in Japan to accept and promote inbound tourists is another factor, which will gradually improve as Japanese outbound tourists increase.

Source: Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering (JHU CSSE)

As stated in the previous article, it will be some time before all restrictions are lifted and visitor numbers return to pre-pandemic levels. If Chinese visitors are limited due to the country’s zero Covid policy, industries such as hotels and transportations, rather than retailers and consumer products, will benefit more as Western visitors tend to spend less for shopping but more for accommodation and dining.

Our Current Stance and Positioning

Retailers such as department stores, drug stores and appliance and electronics stores, as well as cosmetics manufacturers, railroad companies, leisure industry, are beneficiaries. We have some exposure to those industries, we are prepared but not currently overweighting inbound tourism related names. Since their major revenue are often from domestic (i.e., not foreign visitors related) demand for those names, we need to watch the situation when increasing our exposure for them.

Some examples of inbound tourism related names

The information contained in this document is intended solely for the purposes of information only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation by anyone in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation. This report has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

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